Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / ARIZONA

Paul A. Gosar

Republican · U.S. Representative, Arizona 9th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R KALSHI · 96.8¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · ARIZONA 9TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTDanielle “Dani” Sterbinsky (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 96.8¢ · D 9.9¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
prior margin located but unverified — withheld until it verifies
2:1fundraising ratio v Sterbinsky · FEC period 07-01
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-01
$580.0Kraised
$303.2Kcash on hand
· Sterbinsky: $354.4K / $25.7K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary07-21 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V STERBINSKY ⇄