Vince Fong
CA-20What the Signal reads
Fong is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fong at 97.6¢ against Scotter's 3.5¢, up 1.2¢ since August 3. Fong leads 108.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Vince Fong by name.
5,079 traded · 2,497 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Fong v Scotter
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 20th DistrictFong won 65.1% to 34.9% over another Republican (2024).
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+30.3 → R+32.2
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +30.3 to Trump +32.2 in the 2024 presidential vote).