Maxwell Frost
FL-10What the Signal reads
Safe D
Frost is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Frost at 98.5¢, up 3.3¢ since August 3.
The market
Frost · Democratic contract
98.5¢
▲ 3.3¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maxwell Frost by name.
36,942 traded · 13,041 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
The 2026 race
Florida 10th DistrictPrior result
D+24.8
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Maxwell Frost.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+22.7 → D+24.0
Florida redrew its congressional map in a 2026 special session. Gov. Ron DeSantis signed the new plan (HB 1-D) on May 4, 2026; it changed 21 of the state's 28 districts. Its partisan lean barely changes (Harris +22.7 to Harris +24 in the 2024 presidential vote).