Michelle Fischbach · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Fischbach is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fischbach at 97.7¢ against Osberg's 4.8¢, up 4.2¢ since August 3. Fischbach leads 3.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Fischbach · Republican contract

97.7¢

▲ 4.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michelle Fischbach by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.8¢ · low 93.5¢Oct 12

Michelle FischbachRepublican · incumbent

97.7¢

Erik OsbergDemocratic

4.8¢

4,830 traded · 3,043 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fischbach v Osberg

Metric by metric

Fischbach

Osberg

97.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.8¢

$1.29M

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$334.9K

$919.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$114.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota 7th District

Prior result

R+41.0

2024 general election, won by Michelle Fischbach.

Fundraising

3.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.