Russ Fulcher
ID-1What the Signal reads
Safe R
Fulcher is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fulcher at 98.7¢ against Peterson's 2.3¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Fulcher ahead by 16.5 points, and Fulcher leads 3.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Fulcher · Republican contract
98.7¢
▲ 2.3¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Russ Fulcher by name.
894 traded · 560 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Fulcher v Peterson
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Idaho 1st DistrictPolling average
R+16.5
Average of 2 pollsters, July 14 to July 30.
Prior result
R+45.5
2024 general election, won by Russ Fulcher.
Fundraising
3.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.