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Lois Frankel

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Democratic Strong favorite
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 95.9¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON FRANKEL
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Lois Frankel is a sitting U.S. Representative for Florida's 22nd district, running in Florida's 23rd district, a seat the band rates Safe D. Florida's 22nd, which they hold, was redrawn 15.9 points toward the Republicans; and the market prices their contract at 95.9¢ against Adeimy's 7.5¢, up 1.7¢ across 25 observation days.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Lois Frankel · Democratic · HOUSEFL23-26-D

95.9¢

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lois Frankel by name.

▲ 1.7¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 96.0¢ · low 94.2¢2026-09-21
Lois Frankel Democratic · incumbent
95.9¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Deborah Adeimy Republican
7.5¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 16,538 traded · 5,447 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

FRANKEL AGAINST ADEIMY · METRIC BY METRIC
Frankel
Adeimy
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

95.9¢

7.5¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through July 29, 2026

$2.28M

No filing on file for Deborah Adeimy with the Federal Election Commission.

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

Florida's 22nd district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in

Holds no office

Challenger

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+5.6 → R+10.3

The Legislature passed HB 1-D and the governor approved it on 4 May 2026 as Chapter 2026-229, establishing the congressional districts of the state as Plan EOGPCRP2026.

The record this is read from ↗

THE 2026 RACE · FLORIDA 23RD DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIND+4.92024 general election · this seat's last result, verified against official results
FUNDRAISING
$2.28Mraised
$1.21Mcash on hand
through July 29, 2026 · checked Aug 31
COMPARE V ADEIMY ⇄