Elections Intelligence

Bill Foster

IL-11U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Foster is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Foster at 97.6¢ against Walter's 3.6¢, up 4.3¢ since August 3. Foster leads 7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Foster · Democratic contract
97.6¢
▲ 4.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bill Foster by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 93.3¢Oct 12
Bill FosterDemocratic · incumbent
97.6¢
Jeff WalterRepublican
3.6¢

1,170 traded · 1,170 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Foster v Walter

Metric by metric
Foster
Walter
97.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.6¢
$2.18M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$311.4K
$2.51M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$22.8K
U.S. Representativesince 2013
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 11th District
Prior result
50.7 to 37.1

Evans won 50.7% to 37.1% over another Republican (2024).

Fundraising
7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.