Elections Intelligence

Mike Ezell

MS-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Ezell is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Ezell at 99.1¢ against Hulum's 2.6¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Ezell leads 34 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ezell · Republican contract
99.1¢
▲ 3.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Ezell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96¢Oct 12
Mike EzellRepublican · incumbent
99.1¢
Jeffrey Hulum IIIDemocratic
2.6¢

10,631 traded · 1,983 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ezell v Hulum

Metric by metric
Ezell
Hulum
99.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.6¢
$990.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$29.0K
$123.4K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$6.5K
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Mississippi 4th District
Prior result
R+47.9

2024 general election, won by Mike Ezell.

Fundraising
34 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.