Elections Intelligence

Maxine Dexter

OR-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Dexter is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Dexter at 98.2¢ against Ayles's 1.8¢, up 0.8¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Dexter · Democratic contract
98.2¢
▲ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maxine Dexter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97¢Oct 12
Maxine DexterDemocratic · incumbent
98.2¢
Loran AylesRepublican
1.8¢

565 traded · 501 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Dexter v Ayles

Metric by metric
Dexter
Ayles
98.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.8¢
$1.04M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Loran Ayles: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$173.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Oregon 3rd District
Prior result
D+42.5

2024 general election, won by Maxine Dexter.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.