Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW JERSEY

Herbert C. Conaway, Jr.

Democratic · U.S. Representative, New Jersey 3rd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 97.9¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW JERSEY 3RD DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTMichael P. McGuire (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 97.9¢ · R 7.6¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
prior margin located but unverified — withheld until it verifies
12:1fundraising ratio v McGuire · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$934.7Kraised
$439.3Kcash on hand
· McGuire: $79.2K / $807 CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · G settled · other settled
COMPARE V MCGUIRE ⇄