Safe D
Greg Casar is a sitting U.S. Representative for Texas's 35th district, running in Texas's 37th district, a seat the band rates Safe D. Texas's 35th, which they hold, was redrawn 44.1 points toward the Republicans; the market prices their contract at 98.6¢ against Peña's 2.6¢, up 1.6¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 9.9 dollars for every one of Peña's.
98.6¢
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Greg Casar by name.
▲ 1.6¢
since Aug 3
Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 1,903 traded · 503 open
Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET
98.6¢
2.6¢
$1.17M
9.9:1 against Lauren Peña
$118K
U.S. Representative
Texas's 35th district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in
Holds no office
Challenger
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+33.6 → R+10.5
The governor signed HB 4 on 29 August 2025, composing the districts for the election of members of the United States House of Representatives from Texas as Plan C2333, effective 5 September 2025; the United States Supreme Court stayed the injunction against the plan on 4 December 2025.