Elections Intelligence

James Comer

KY-1U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Comer is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Comer at 97.8¢ against Williams's 3.8¢, up 3.3¢ since August 3. Comer leads 15.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Comer · Republican contract
97.8¢
▲ 3.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on James Comer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.5¢ · low 94.5¢Oct 12
James ComerRepublican · incumbent
97.8¢
Drew WilliamsDemocratic
3.8¢

4,284 traded · 2,222 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Comer v Williams

Metric by metric
Comer
Williams
97.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.8¢
$1.90M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$118.8K
$3.04M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$20.2K
U.S. Representativesince 2016
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Kentucky 1st District
Prior result
R+49.4

2024 general election, won by James Comer.

Fundraising
15.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.