Elections Intelligence
House
Full race page

Eric A. "Rick" Crawford

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Republican Strong favorite
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R KALSHI · 99.3¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON CRAWFORD
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe R

Eric A. "Rick" Crawford is the sitting U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 1st district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Safe R. The market prices their contract at 99.3¢ against Green's 2.8¢, up 1.9¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 14 dollars for every one of Green's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Eric A. "Rick" Crawford · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R

99.3¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Eric A. "Rick" Crawford by name.

▲ 1.9¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 99.5¢ · low 97.4¢2026-09-21
Eric A. "Rick" Crawford Republican · incumbent
99.3¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Terri Yarbrough Green Democratic
2.8¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Jason Gaines independent
no contract on this candidate in the market
Steve G. Parsons Libertarian
no contract on this candidate in the market

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 21,874 traded · 11,312 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

CRAWFORD AGAINST GREEN · METRIC BY METRIC
Crawford
Green
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

99.3¢

2.8¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$944K

14:1 against Terri Yarbrough Green

$65K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

Arkansas's 1st district · since 2025 · defending it

Holds no office

Challenger

THE 2026 RACE · ARKANSAS 1ST DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIN+48.882024 general election · verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+48.882024 general election margin — verified against official results
14:1fundraising ratio v Green · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$944.3Kraised
$1.03Mcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Green: $65.1K / $12.0K CoH
COMPARE V GREEN ⇄