Elections Intelligence

Yvette D. Clarke

NY-9U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Clarke is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Clarke at 97.8¢ against Azumah's 3.6¢, up 5.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Clarke · Democratic contract
97.8¢
▲ 5.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Yvette D. Clarke by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 92.4¢Oct 12
Yvette D. ClarkeDemocratic · incumbent
97.8¢
Joel AzumahRepublican
3.6¢

3,316 traded · 1,379 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Clarke v Azumah

Metric by metric
Clarke
Azumah
97.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.6¢
$1.01M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No filing on file for Joel Azumah with the Federal Election Commission.
$31.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2007
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 9th District
Prior result
D+48.0

2024 general election, won by Yvette D. Clarke.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.