Emanuel Cleaver · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Cleaver is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cleaver at 97¢ against Brattin's 3.1¢, up 83¢ since August 3. Cleaver leads 4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cleaver · Democratic contract

97.0¢

▲ 83.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Emanuel Cleaver by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 14¢Oct 12

Emanuel CleaverDemocratic · incumbent

97.0¢

Rick BrattinRepublican

3.1¢

159,771 traded · 44,179 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cleaver v Brattin

Metric by metric

Cleaver

Brattin

97.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.1¢

$1.34M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$331.8K

$1.14M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$222.5K

U.S. Representativesince 2005

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Missouri 5th District

Prior result

D+23.8

2024 general election, won by Emanuel Cleaver.

Fundraising

4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.