Ed Case · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Case is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Case at 98.9¢ against Lam's 3.9¢, up 1.9¢ since August 3.

Case · Democratic contract

98.9¢

▲ 1.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ed Case by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 97¢Oct 12

Ed CaseDemocratic · incumbent

98.9¢

Adriel LamRepublican

3.9¢

118 traded · 98 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Metric by metric

Case

Lam

98.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.9¢

$1.09M

RaisedFEC, through July 19

No total for Adriel Lam: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$599.6K

Cash on handFEC, through July 19

—

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

Hawaii 1st District

Prior result

D+43.7

2024 general election, won by Ed Case.