Tom Cole · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Cole is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Cole at 97.3¢ against Jacob's 5.1¢, up 1.1¢ since August 3. Cole leads 58.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cole · Republican contract

97.3¢

▲ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tom Cole by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.3¢ · low 95¢Oct 12

Tom ColeRepublican · incumbent

97.3¢

Mitchell JacobDemocratic

5.1¢

3,922 traded · 2,878 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cole v Jacob

Metric by metric

Cole

Jacob

97.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.1¢

$3.83M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$65.3K

$2.60M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$4.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2003

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 4th District

Prior result

R+37.0

2024 general election, won by Tom Cole.

Fundraising

58.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.