Shelley Moore Capito · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Capito is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Capito at 98.5¢ against Anderson's 2.4¢, up 1.1¢ since July 31. Capito leads 92.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Capito · Republican contract

98.5¢

▲ 1.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Shelley Moore Capito by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 96.3¢Oct 12

Shelley Moore CapitoRepublican · incumbent

98.5¢

Rachel Fetty AndersonDemocratic

2.4¢

27,376 traded · 20,730 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Capito v Anderson

Metric by metric

Capito

Anderson

98.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.4¢

$4.62M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$49.9K

$4.38M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$22.1K

U.S. Senatorsince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

West Virginia U.S. Senate

Prior result

R+43.3

2020 general election, won by Shelley Moore Capito.

Fundraising

92.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.