Becca Balint · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Balint is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Balint at 99.4¢ against Malloy's 3.4¢, up 0.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Balint ahead by 26.5 points, and Balint leads 16.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Balint · Democratic contract

99.4¢

▲ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Becca Balint by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 95.9¢Oct 12

Becca BalintDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

Gerald MalloyRepublican

3.4¢

6,601 traded · 6,074 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Balint v Malloy

Metric by metric

Balint

Malloy

99.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$956.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$58.3K

$626.3K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$19.7K

47%

Latest pollBraun Research · Sep 21

30%

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Vermont At-Large District

Polling average

D+26.5

Average of 2 pollsters, September 21.

Prior result

D+32.5

2024 general election, won by Becca Balint.

Fundraising

16.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.