Josh Brecheen · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Brecheen is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Brecheen at 99¢ against Wade's 1.9¢, up 3¢ since August 3. Brecheen leads 51 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Brecheen · Republican contract

99.0¢

▲ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Josh Brecheen by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.5¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Josh BrecheenRepublican · incumbent

99.0¢

Brandon WadeDemocratic

1.9¢

2,331 traded · 1,873 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brecheen v Wade

Metric by metric

Brecheen

Wade

99.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.9¢

$218.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.3K

$76.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$86

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 2nd District

Prior result

R+52.7

2024 general election, won by Josh Brecheen.

Fundraising

51 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.