Brian Babin
TX-36What the Signal reads
Babin is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Babin at 95.7¢ against Hart's 4.2¢, up 3.7¢ since August 3.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brian Babin by name.
6,278 traded · 4,176 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Babin v Hart
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 36th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Brian Babin.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+36.8 → R+25.0
Texas redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 4, which Gov. Greg Abbott signed on Aug. 29, 2025. A federal court blocked the map, but the U.S. Supreme Court put that ruling on hold in December 2025 and reversed it in April 2026, so the new lines are in place for 2026. It becomes much less Republican, going from Trump +36.8 to Trump +25 in the 2024 presidential vote.