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Ami Bera

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Democratic Strong favorite
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 95.4¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON BERA
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Ami Bera is a sitting U.S. Representative for California's 6th district, running in California's 3rd district, a seat the band rates Safe D. California's 6th, which they hold, was redrawn 5.5 points toward the Republicans; the market prices their contract at 95.4¢ against Tucker's 7.7¢, up 0.6¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 4.8 dollars for every one of Tucker's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Ami Bera · Democratic · HOUSECA3-26-D

95.4¢

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ami Bera by name.

▲ 0.6¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 95.5¢ · low 94.8¢2026-09-21
Ami Bera Democratic · incumbent
95.4¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Robb Tucker Republican
7.7¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 19,371 traded · 11,390 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

BERA AGAINST TUCKER · METRIC BY METRIC
Bera
Tucker
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

95.4¢

7.7¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$1.25M

4.8:1 against Robb Tucker

$258K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

California's 6th district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in

Holds no office

Challenger

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+13.9 → D+8.4

The Legislature enacted the congressional map in AB 604, chaptered 21 August 2025 as Chapter 96, Statutes of 2025, and voters authorized its use through ACA 8, Proposition 50, on 4 November 2025; it applies to the 2026, 2028 and 2030 congressional elections.

The record this is read from ↗

THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 3RD DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGINR+112024 general election · this seat's last result, verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
4.8:1fundraising ratio v Tucker · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$1.25Mraised
$1.83Mcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Sep 13
· Tucker: $258.1K / $16.0K CoH
COMPARE V TUCKER ⇄