Safe D
Ami Bera is a sitting U.S. Representative for California's 6th district, running in California's 3rd district, a seat the band rates Safe D. California's 6th, which they hold, was redrawn 5.5 points toward the Republicans; the market prices their contract at 95.4¢ against Tucker's 7.7¢, up 0.6¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 4.8 dollars for every one of Tucker's.
95.4¢
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ami Bera by name.
▲ 0.6¢
since Aug 3
Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 19,371 traded · 11,390 open
Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET
95.4¢
7.7¢
$1.25M
4.8:1 against Robb Tucker
$258K
U.S. Representative
California's 6th district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in
Holds no office
Challenger
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+13.9 → D+8.4
The Legislature enacted the congressional map in AB 604, chaptered 21 August 2025 as Chapter 96, Statutes of 2025, and voters authorized its use through ACA 8, Proposition 50, on 4 November 2025; it applies to the 2026, 2028 and 2030 congressional elections.