Andy Barr · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Barr is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Barr at 96.2¢ against Booker's 4.1¢, up 2.7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Barr ahead by 12 points, and Barr leads 9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Barr · Republican contract

96.2¢

▲ 2.7¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Andy Barr by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 97.8¢ · low 91.1¢Oct 12

Andy BarrRepublican

96.2¢

Charles BookerDemocratic

4.1¢

189,316 traded · 90,526 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Barr v Booker

Metric by metric

Barr

Booker

96.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.1¢

$9.98M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.10M

$2.31M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$309.6K

49%

Latest pollGSG, Sponsor unconfirmed (released by the Booker campaign) · Aug 27

40%

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kentucky U.S. Senate

Polling average

R+12

Average of 2 pollsters, December 19 to August 27.

Prior result

R+19.5

2020 general election, won by Mitch McConnell.

Fundraising

9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.