Gus M. Bilirakis
FL-12What the Signal reads
Bilirakis is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Bilirakis at 89¢ against Overman's 13¢, up 4¢ since August 3. Bilirakis leads 8.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gus M. Bilirakis by name.
11,945 traded · 7,183 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Bilirakis v Overman
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida 12th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gus M. Bilirakis.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+34.6 → R+15.4
Florida redrew its congressional map in a 2026 special session. Gov. Ron DeSantis signed the new plan (HB 1-D) on May 4, 2026; it changed 21 of the state's 28 districts. It becomes much less Republican, going from Trump +34.6 to Trump +15.4 in the 2024 presidential vote.