Elections Intelligence

Zuhdi Jasser

AZ-4U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Jasser is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Jasser at 3.9¢ against Stanton's 97.5¢, down 3.2¢ since August 3. Stanton leads 3.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jasser · Republican contract
3.9¢
▼ 3.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Zuhdi Jasser by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.9¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Zuhdi JasserRepublican
3.9¢
Greg StantonDemocratic · incumbent
97.5¢

11,082 traded · 5,713 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jasser v Stanton

Metric by metric
Jasser
Stanton
3.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.5¢
$564.6K
RaisedFEC, through July 1
$2.12M
$341.7K
Cash on handFEC, through July 1
$2.02M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Arizona 4th District
Prior result
D+5.4

2024 general election, won by Greg Stanton.

Fundraising
3.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.