Xavier Becerra
CAWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Becerra is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Becerra at 96.8¢ against Hilton's 4¢, up 1.4¢ since July 31. The polling average has Becerra ahead by 17.5 points, and Becerra leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Becerra · Democratic contract
96.8¢
▲ 1.4¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Xavier Becerra by name.
1,868,517 traded · 1,047,586 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Becerra v Hilton
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California GovernorPolling average
D+17.5
Average of 5 pollsters, September 20 to October 2.
Prior result
D+18.4
2022 general election, won by Gavin Newsom.
Fundraising
1.3 to 1
Raised, through September 19.