Elections Intelligence

Vince George

WV-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

George is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has George at 3.6¢ against Miller's 98¢, down 2.7¢ since August 3. Miller leads 6.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
George · Democratic contract
3.6¢
▼ 2.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Vince George by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.9¢ · low 2.8¢Oct 12
Vince GeorgeDemocratic
3.6¢
Carol D. MillerRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢

3,166 traded · 2,245 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

George v Miller

Metric by metric
George
Miller
3.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
$258.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.75M
$258.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$604.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

West Virginia 1st District
Prior result
R+40.2

2024 general election, won by Carol D. Miller.

Fundraising
6.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.