Ty Masterson

CHALLENGER Lean R Favored

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Masterson is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market prices a Republican win of the seat, a flip from Democratic, at 75¢, a price on the party and not on Masterson. The polling average has Masterson ahead by 4.2 points, and Masterson leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.

Democratic lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

26.0¢

Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

75.0¢

Cindy HolscherDemocratic

no contract on this candidate in the market

Ty MastersonRepublican

no contract on this candidate in the market

157,005 traded · 99,944 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Masterson v Holscher

Metric by metric

Masterson

Holscher

$766.5K

RaisedState filings, through July 23

$412.6K

$430.2K

Cash on handState filings, through July 23

$64.9K

47%

Latest pollYouGov · Oct 4

44%

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kansas Governor

Polling average

R+4.2

Average of 5 pollsters, September 16 to October 4.

Prior result

D+2.2

2022 general election, won by Laura Kelly.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised, through July 23.