Thurman Bartie · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Bartie is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Bartie at 4.1¢ against Weber's 98¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Weber leads 36.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bartie · Democratic contract

4.1¢

▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Thurman Bartie by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.1¢ · low 4.1¢Oct 12

Thurman BartieDemocratic

4.1¢

Randy K. Weber, Sr.Republican · incumbent

98.0¢

4,676 traded · 1,715 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bartie v Weber

Metric by metric

Bartie

Weber

4.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.0¢

$26.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$972.6K

$-1092

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$921.9K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Texas 14th District

Prior result

R+37.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Randy K. Weber, Sr..

Fundraising

36.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.