Terri Yarbrough Green · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Green is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Green at 3.8¢ against Crawford's 99¢, up 1.2¢ since August 3. Crawford leads 14.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Green · Democratic contract

3.8¢

▲ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Terri Yarbrough Green by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.6¢ · low 2.6¢Oct 12

Terri Yarbrough GreenDemocratic

3.8¢

Eric A. "Rick" CrawfordRepublican · incumbent

99.0¢

22,143 traded · 11,382 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Green v Crawford

Metric by metric

Green

Crawford

3.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.0¢

$65.1K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$944.3K

$12.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.03M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Arkansas 1st District

Prior result

R+48.9

2024 general election, won by Eric A. "Rick" Crawford.

Fundraising

14.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.