Elections Intelligence

Terri Pickens

IDGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Pickens is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Pickens at 2.5¢ against Little's 98.3¢, up 0.3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Little ahead by 14.3 points, and Little leads 9.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pickens · Democratic contract
2.5¢
▲ 0.3¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Terri Pickens by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 5.9¢ · low 2¢Oct 12
Terri PickensDemocratic
2.5¢
Brad LittleRepublican · incumbent
98.3¢

8,483 traded · 5,263 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pickens v Little

Metric by metric
Pickens
Little
2.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.3¢
$241.6K
RaisedState filings, through September 30
$2.38M
$74.9K
Cash on handState filings, through September 30
$938.7K
27%
Latest pollAdv Targ. Research · Sep 16
37%
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Idahosince 2023

The 2026 race

Idaho Governor
Polling average
R+14.3

Average of 2 pollsters, July 30 to September 16.

Prior result
R+40.2

2022 general election, won by Brad Little.

Fundraising
9.8 to 1

Raised, through September 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.