Stacy Garrity
PAWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Garrity is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Garrity at 2.6¢ against Shapiro's 97.2¢, down 5.2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Shapiro ahead by 22.4 points, and Shapiro leads 7.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Garrity · Republican contract
2.6¢
▼ 5.2¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Stacy Garrity by name.
697,108 traded · 613,194 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Garrity v Shapiro
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Pennsylvania GovernorPolling average
D+22.4
Average of 5 pollsters, September 22 to October 5.
Prior result
D+14.8
2022 general election, won by Josh Shapiro.
Fundraising
7.2 to 1
Raised, through September 14.