Seth Bodnar
MTIWhat the Signal reads
Likely R
Bodnar is an independent candidate for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Bodnar at 6.7¢ against Alme's 93.2¢, down 11.3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Alme ahead by 15.4 points, and Bodnar leads 1.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Bodnar · independent contract
6.7¢
▼ 11.3¢since July 31
676,252 traded · 383,390 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Bodnar v Alme
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Montana U.S. SenatePolling average
Alme +15.4
Average of 3 pollsters, September 7 to September 24.
Prior result
R+10.0
2020 general election, won by Steve Daines.
Fundraising
1.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.