Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. SENATE / MONTANA

Seth Bodnar

Independent · Senate challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 9.3¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MONTANA U.S. SENATEFull race page →
OPPONENTS · 2Bankhead (D) · Alme (R)a multi-candidate contest — every principal named
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 91¢ · BODNAR 9.3¢D 0.8¢ residual
LATEST POLLR+15<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://forwardmontana.org/results-of-new-polling-on-the-montana-u-s-senate-election/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hart Research ↗</a> (A-) 08-13 · n=800
STANDING · THIS SEAT
55:1fundraising ratio v INES · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-22 · PERIOD 06-30
$3.24Mraised
$977.8Kcash on hand
committee not on file
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · I settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Kyle Austin (Libertarian)