Sean Kirrane · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kirrane is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kirrane at 1.6¢ against Gottheimer's 98.3¢, down 5.8¢ since August 3. Gottheimer leads 85.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kirrane · Republican contract

1.6¢

▼ 5.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Sean Kirrane by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 19¢ · low 1.6¢Oct 12

Sean KirraneRepublican

1.6¢

Josh GottheimerDemocratic · incumbent

98.3¢

7,085 traded · 5,495 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kirrane v Gottheimer

Metric by metric

Kirrane

Gottheimer

1.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.3¢

$55.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.77M

$8.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$12.77M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

New Jersey 5th District

Prior result

D+9.3

2024 general election, won by Josh Gottheimer.

Fundraising

85.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.