Sandra Van Scotter · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Scotter is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Scotter at 3.5¢ against Fong's 97.6¢, down 1.2¢ since August 3. Fong leads 108.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Scotter · Democratic contract

3.5¢

▼ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Sandra Van Scotter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Sandra Van ScotterDemocratic

3.5¢

Vince FongRepublican · incumbent

97.6¢

5,079 traded · 2,497 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Scotter v Fong

Metric by metric

Scotter

Fong

3.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.6¢

$17.1K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.85M

$-2017

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$453.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2024

The 2026 race

California 20th District

Prior result

65.1 to 34.9

Fong won 65.1% to 34.9% over another Republican (2024).

Fundraising

108.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.