Elections Intelligence

Sam Gallucci

CA-26U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Gallucci is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Gallucci at 4.1¢ against Irwin's 98.8¢, down 0.4¢ since August 3. Irwin leads 2.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Gallucci · Republican contract
4.1¢
▼ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Sam Gallucci by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.7¢ · low 4.1¢Oct 12
Sam GallucciRepublican
4.1¢
Jacqui IrwinDemocratic
98.8¢

908 traded · 892 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gallucci v Irwin

Metric by metric
Gallucci
Irwin
4.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.8¢
$377.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$822.4K
$33.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$295.5K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

California 26th District
Prior result
D+12.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Julia Brownley.

Fundraising
2.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.