Rudy Recile · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Recile is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Recile at 4¢ against Garamendi's 98.9¢, down 2¢ since August 3. Garamendi leads 57 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Recile · Republican contract

4.0¢

▼ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Rudy Recile by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Rudy RecileRepublican

4.0¢

John GaramendiDemocratic · incumbent

98.9¢

2,290 traded · 2,074 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Recile v Garamendi

Metric by metric

Recile

Garamendi

4.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.9¢

$8.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$489.1K

$1.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.20M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

California 8th District

Prior result

D+48.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by John Garamendi.

Fundraising

57 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.