Elections Intelligence

Rosie Pino

NJ-9U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pino is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pino at 3.5¢ against Pou's 96.9¢, down 6.3¢ since August 3. Pou leads 6.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pino · Republican contract
3.5¢
▼ 6.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Rosie Pino by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 26¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Rosie PinoRepublican
3.5¢
Nellie PouDemocratic · incumbent
96.9¢

13,999 traded · 6,119 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pino v Pou

Metric by metric
Pino
Pou
3.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.9¢
$415.9K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.66M
$39.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.79M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

New Jersey 9th District
Prior result
D+1.6

2024 general election, won by Nellie Pou.

Fundraising
6.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.