Elections Intelligence

Ron Eller

MS-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Eller is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Eller at 3.8¢ against Thompson's 98¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. Thompson leads 16.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Eller · Republican contract
3.8¢
▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ron Eller by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.7¢ · low 2.6¢Oct 12
Ron EllerRepublican
3.8¢
Bennie G. ThompsonDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢

38,312 traded · 12,233 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Eller v Thompson

Metric by metric
Eller
Thompson
3.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
$45.4K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$771.0K
$35.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.45M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 1993

The 2026 race

Mississippi 2nd District
Prior result
D+24.0

2024 general election, won by Bennie G. Thompson.

Fundraising
16.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.