Elections Intelligence

Robert Charles

MEGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe DThe seat Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Charles is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Charles at 4.9¢ against Pingree's 95.1¢, down 3.2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Pingree ahead by 11.4 points, and Pingree leads 4.7 to 1 on cash.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Charles · Republican contract
4.9¢
▼ 3.2¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert Charles by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 9.9¢ · low 4.9¢Oct 12
Robert CharlesRepublican
4.9¢
Hannah PingreeDemocratic
95.1¢

82,491 traded · 46,287 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Charles v Pingree

Metric by metric
Charles
Pingree
4.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
95.1¢
$179.0K
Cash on handState filings, through July 14
$854.2K
36%
Latest pollWash. Post/Schar · Oct 5
49%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Maine Governor
Polling average
D+11.4

Average of 8 pollsters, September 14 to October 5.

Prior result
D+13.2

2022 general election, won by Janet Mills.

Fundraising
4.7 to 1

Cash on hand, July 14.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.