Elections Intelligence

Robb Tucker

CA-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Tucker is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Tucker at 2.7¢ against Bera's 96.9¢, down 2.3¢ since August 3. Bera leads 4.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Tucker · Republican contract
2.7¢
▼ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robb Tucker by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 14¢ · low 1¢Oct 12
Robb TuckerRepublican
2.7¢
Ami BeraDemocratic
96.9¢

21,577 traded · 11,389 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Tucker v Bera

Metric by metric
Tucker
Bera
2.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.9¢
$258.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.25M
$16.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.83M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

California 3rd District
Prior result
R+11.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Kevin Kiley.

Fundraising
4.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.