Elections Intelligence

Robb Ryerse

AR-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Ryerse is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Ryerse at 5.1¢ against Womack's 97.7¢, down 14.9¢ since August 3. Womack leads 15.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ryerse · Democratic contract
5.1¢
▼ 14.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Robb Ryerse by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 20¢ · low 2.9¢Oct 12
Robb RyerseDemocratic
5.1¢
Steve WomackRepublican · incumbent
97.7¢

8,593 traded · 4,369 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ryerse v Womack

Metric by metric
Ryerse
Womack
5.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.7¢
$120.5K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.87M
$6.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.40M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Arkansas 3rd District
Prior result
R+32.0

2024 general election, won by Steve Womack.

Fundraising
15.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.