Elections Intelligence

Riley Owen

UT-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Owen is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Owen at 2.3¢ against McAdams's 99¢, down 3.9¢ since August 3. The polling average has McAdams ahead by 41.5 points, and McAdams leads 17 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Owen · Republican contract
2.3¢
▼ 3.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Riley Owen by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12
Riley OwenRepublican
2.3¢
Ben McAdamsDemocratic
99.0¢

12,137 traded · 4,079 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Owen v McAdams

Metric by metric
Owen
McAdams
2.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.0¢
$132.5K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.26M
$9.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$299.3K
21.2%
Latest pollLighthoust Research · Sep 10
62.7%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Utah 1st District
Latest poll
D+41.5

Lighthoust Research, September 10.

Prior result
R+31.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Blake D. Moore.

Fundraising
17 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.