Rick Brattin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Brattin is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Brattin at 3.1¢ against Cleaver's 97¢, down 83.9¢ since August 3. Cleaver leads 4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Brattin · Republican contract

3.1¢

▼ 83.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Rick Brattin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 87¢ · low 3.1¢Oct 12

Rick BrattinRepublican

3.1¢

Emanuel CleaverDemocratic · incumbent

97.0¢

159,771 traded · 44,179 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brattin v Cleaver

Metric by metric

Brattin

Cleaver

3.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.0¢

$331.8K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.34M

$222.5K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.14M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2005

The 2026 race

Missouri 5th District

Prior result

D+23.8

2024 general election, won by Emanuel Cleaver.

Fundraising

4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.