Ricardo Cabrera · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Cabrera is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cabrera at 3.5¢ against Jacobs's 99.3¢, up 0.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cabrera · Republican contract

3.5¢

▲ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ricardo Cabrera by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.5¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Ricardo CabreraRepublican

3.5¢

Sara JacobsDemocratic · incumbent

99.3¢

985 traded · 859 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cabrera v Jacobs

Metric by metric

Cabrera

Jacobs

3.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.3¢

No total for Ricardo Cabrera: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.64M

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$269.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

California 51st District

Prior result

D+21.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Sara Jacobs.