Raymond McKay — Elections Intelligence

WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON MCKAY

THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Raymond McKay is a challenger in the Rhode Island U.S. Senate race, a seat the band rates Safe D. The market prices their contract at 2.5¢ against Reed's 98.4¢, down 2.1¢ across 31 observation days; and the latest public poll has them 20 points behind.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗

Raymond McKay · Republican · SENATERI-26-R

2.5¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Raymond McKay by name.

▼ 2.1¢

since Jul 31

2026-07-3131 observation days · high 4.6¢ · low 1.7¢2026-09-21

Raymond McKay Republican

2.5¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Jack Reed Democratic · incumbent

98.4¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Jon Lindley independent

no contract on this candidate in the market

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 22,991 traded · 11,293 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

MCKAY AGAINST REED · METRIC BY METRIC

McKay

Reed

MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

2.5¢

98.4¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through August 20, 2026

No filing on file for Raymond McKay with the Federal Election Commission.

$3.38M

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

Holds no office

Challenger

U.S. Senator

Rhode Island · since 2021 · defending it

POLL STANDINGUNH · (C) · Aug 24 · n=750 LV

31%

20 points behind

Latest of ten public polls

51%

Raymond McKay holds no seat, so no redraw applies to them.