Rachel Wallace · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Wallace is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Wallace at 6.1¢ against Meuser's 94.4¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Meuser leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wallace · Democratic contract

6.1¢

▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rachel Wallace by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.9¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Rachel WallaceDemocratic

6.1¢

Daniel MeuserRepublican · incumbent

94.4¢

3,401 traded · 1,501 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wallace v Meuser

Metric by metric

Wallace

Meuser

6.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

94.4¢

$697.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.90M

$386.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$170.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 9th District

Prior result

R+41.0

2024 general election, won by Daniel Meuser.

Fundraising

2.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.