Rachel Peace · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Peace is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Peace at 6.8¢ against Smith's 97.9¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. Smith leads 17.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Peace · Democratic contract

6.8¢

▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rachel Peace by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.6¢ · low 3.8¢Oct 12

Rachel PeaceDemocratic

6.8¢

Christopher H. SmithRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

3,742 traded · 2,126 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Peace v Smith

Metric by metric

Peace

Smith

6.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$34.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$592.0K

$5.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$488.3K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 1981

The 2026 race

New Jersey 4th District

Prior result

R+34.8

2024 general election, won by Christopher H. Smith.

Fundraising

17.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.