Rachel Fetty Anderson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Anderson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Anderson at 2.4¢ against Capito's 98.5¢, down 4.4¢ since July 31. Capito leads 92.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Anderson · Democratic contract

2.4¢

▼ 4.4¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rachel Fetty Anderson by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 6.8¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12

Rachel Fetty AndersonDemocratic

2.4¢

Shelley Moore CapitoRepublican · incumbent

98.5¢

27,376 traded · 20,730 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Anderson v Capito

Metric by metric

Anderson

Capito

2.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.5¢

$49.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.62M

$22.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$4.38M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Senatorsince 2015

The 2026 race

West Virginia U.S. Senate

Prior result

R+43.3

2020 general election, won by Shelley Moore Capito.

Fundraising

92.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.