R. Tyler MacAllister · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

MacAllister is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has MacAllister at 4.6¢ against Keating's 97.2¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Keating leads 2.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

MacAllister · Republican contract

4.6¢

▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on R. Tyler MacAllister by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 4¢Oct 12

R. Tyler MacAllisterRepublican

4.6¢

William R. KeatingDemocratic · incumbent

97.2¢

949 traded · 938 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

MacAllister v Keating

Metric by metric

MacAllister

Keating

4.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.2¢

$175.1K

RaisedFEC, through August 12

$422.5K

$35.1K

Cash on handFEC, through August 12

$495.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 9th District

Prior result

D+13.0

2024 general election, won by William R. Keating.

Fundraising

2.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 12.